Upcoming Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. – Version Amundsen – 2.0.1

Hi everyone,

This post will keep track of changes to the upcoming version of Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. v. Amundsen – 2.0.1, and includes an estimated release date for it (as with any estimate, this can change).

Est. release date: Saturday, May 2nd PST.

Note: this release is for all owners.

Changes so far (this list will be updated as changes are implemented on this side, these changes will not be available until the version is released):

  • Windows, Mac > fixed a couple bugs that caused error messages or the game to freeze
  • David Cameron > Charisma 4 -> 3
  • Leaders > Conservatives > added Mayor Boris Johnson
  • Leaders > Conservatives > added Rt. Hon. George Osborne
  • Leaders > Labour > added Rt. Hon. Harriet Harman
  • Updated a few candidates relating to the Conservatives and the UUP in Northern Ireland
  • Independents > Bradford West > added George Galloway
  • Debate now only on April 2nd, removed April 16th and 30th debates
  • Windows > icon is now British version

President Infinity – Version Amundsen – 2.0.0

President Infinity v. Amundsen – 2.0.0 for Windows and Mac has been released!

If you are a President Infinity (President Forever 2016) owner, you are eligible for this upgrade.What’s new in this upgrade

  • “Processing Turn” message date format changed, for example “11/02/2015″ is now “Monday, November 2nd, 2015″
  • 2016 > added Carly Fiorina, 2%, 10% in California
  • 2016 > added Lindsey Graham, 2%, 8% in South Carolina
  • 2016 > Ben Carson > Ground 1 -> 2
  • 2016 > Jim Webb > removed Barack Obama as Surrogate
  • 2016 > Endorsers > updated ids (for example, Joni Ernst now has an id of joni_ernst instead of tom_harkin)
  • 2016 > Endorsers > Mitch McConnell > Rand Paul -> 100
  • Main Screen > Surrogates can now fundraise
  • Main Screen > if Surrogate already Barnstorming, now can’t add Spinning
  • Main Screen > if Surrogate already Spinning, now can’t add Barnstorming
  • Surrogates Screen > wider
  • Surrogates Screen > now clearer what Surrogate’s Barnstorming, Fundraising, and Spin attributes are
  • Surrogates Screen > if Barnstorming, no longer shows, for example, ‘4/4/4 (in theme)’, but rather ‘Barnstorming Power 4′
  • Constituency Screen > added more popup help
  • Fixed bug where would get ‘successfully spun story’ message every time spun story, regardless of whether successful
  • Mac > fixed bug that caused game to exit before starting on some systems
  • Windows, Mac > fixed a couple bugs that caused error messages or the game to freeze
  • Offers > if get VP or endorsement of another player, if they are also an endorser then they are set to endorsed

What’s coming up in future updates, listed in terms of priority

  • Implementation of Kickstarter campaign in-game rewards
  • Expanding the 2016 candidates (Chafee, Pataki)
  • 7 days per turn feature for primaries
  • Favorability ratings that determine percentages (allows for more realistic modeling)

This is a comprehensive update.

You can download this release by requesting a download e-mail at the link below.

Important: when you receive the e-mail, you will want to download the file from the “windows president infinity” or “mac president infinity” link.

If for some reason there is no “windows president infinity” or “mac president infinity” link in your e-mail and you are a President Infinity (President Forever 2016) owner, please notify us and we will fix that for you.

To update:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/

Version information:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/president-forever-2016-version-information/

President Infinity – Version Amundsen – 1.9.7

President Infinity v. Amundsen – 1.9.7 for Windows and Mac has been released!

Note: this version seems to have a bug on certain Windows systems, which causes the game to crash. If using Windows, I recommend waiting to install until a new version has been released which fixes this bug.

If you are a President Infinity (President Forever 2016) owner, you are eligible for this upgrade.

What’s new in this upgrade

  • “Processing Turn” message date format changed, for example “11/02/2015″ is now “Monday, November 2nd, 2015″
  • 2016 > added Carly Fiorina, 2%, 10% in California
  • 2016 > added Lindsey Graham, 2%, 8% in South Carolina
  • 2016 > Ben Carson > Ground 1 -> 2
  • 2016 > Jim Webb > removed Barack Obama as Surrogate
  • 2016 > Endorsers > updated ids (for example, Joni Ernst now has an id of joni_ernst instead of tom_harkin)
  • 2016 > Endorsers > Mitch McConnell > Rand Paul -> 100
  • Main Screen > Surrogates can now fundraise
  • Main Screen > if Surrogate already Barnstorming, now can’t add Spinning
  • Main Screen > if Surrogate already Spinning, now can’t add Barnstorming
  • Surrogates Screen > wider
  • Surrogates Screen > now clearer what Surrogate’s Barnstorming, Fundraising, and Spin attributes are
  • Surrogates Screen > if Barnstorming, no longer shows, for example, ‘4/4/4 (in theme)’, but rather ‘Barnstorming Power 4′
  • Constituency Screen > added more popup help
  • Fixed bug where would get ‘successfully spun story’ message every time spun story, regardless of whether successful
  • Mac > fixed bug that caused game to exit before starting on some systems
  • Offers > if get VP or endorsement of another player, if they are also an endorser then they are set to endorsed

This is a comprehensive update.

You can download this release by requesting a download e-mail at the link below.

Important: when you receive the e-mail, you will want to download the file from the “windows president infinity” or “mac president infinity” link.

If for some reason there is no “windows president infinity” or “mac president infinity” link in your e-mail and you are a President Infinity (President Forever 2016) owner, please notify us and we will fix that for you.

To update:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/

Version information:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/president-forever-2016-version-information/

What’s coming up in future updates, listed in terms of priority

  • Implementation of Kickstarter campaign in-game rewards
  • Expanding the 2016 candidates (Chafee, Pataki)
  • 7 days per turn feature for primaries

An Interview with the Creator of UK-Elect

UK-Elect is probably the best forecasting software for the U.K. election that is available. I recently asked Tim Bickerstaff, UK-Elect’s creator, a few questions about the upcoming U.K. election.

(If you’re going to get the UK-Elect software, you can use the coupon code 270SOFT to get a 25% discount from the UK-Elect site. Good forecasting!)

Q. You’re releasing weekly forecasts at ukelect.co.uk – to what extent are the forecasts using calculations from the UK-Elect program itself, and how are these distinguished from other forecasts that are out there?

A. Yes, I’m releasing at least one forecast a week, but more normally two. It may even be three in the last week before the election.

The forecasts are entirely made using UK-Elect, and all the maps, spreadsheets etc. are created by it. I input the approximate latest poll averages for Scotland, Wales, London, and the whole of Great Britain, and then do a forecast using the latest standard “UK-Elect v9.4 method” (UK-Elect also supports a choice of other forecasting methods, such as Uniform National Swing). The only change from the default settings is that I also enable the setting that takes into account how long it is until the date of the election (May 7th). The main effect of that is usually to slightly reduce the UKIP, SNP and Labour votes and slightly increase the Liberal Democrat and Conservative votes. That setting is basically taking into account the late swings back towards previous party vote support levels that have often taken place at previous UK elections (although not all previous elections, so this swing-back theory is a little contentious).

In terms of factors taken into consideration, the UK-Elect method is probably one of the more complex ones. As an example, it uses the final candidate lists and takes into account not only which parties are standing in every consttiuency, but also whether the incumbent MP is standing again, and whether he or she won the seat for the first time at the preceding election. (This is because some academic studies have shown that a first-time incumbent attracts a relatively higher level of support than other incumbents, or new candidates.) It also – very importantly – makes separate forecasts for Scotland , Wales and London using separate percentages and combines those forecasts with an overall GB one. Because of this UK-Elect may well have been the first forecasting website/program to reveal the likely effect at Westminster of the SNP surge.

In recent months the UK-Elect forecasts have generally been close to the mean of the other forecasts, predicting similar number of MPs of the main parties to most – perhaps slightly fewer Conservative and a few more Liberal Democrat seats than some. That effect is probably because of the built-in incumbency calculations which are assuming a quite high-level of incumbency support for the Liberal Democrats. Lord Ashcroft’s constituency polls seem to confirm that the Liberal Democrat incumbency support exists, but some forecasters believe the effect is exaggerated. We will have to wait until May 7th to see who is correct.

Q. Indeed. Let’s talk a bit about the SNP surge, since it seems an important element of the composition of the next Parliament, and might even determine who will be the main party in some kind of coalition or working arrangement. Is this relatively unprecedented surge of a regional party something that you think UK-Elect can model, given the complex arrangement of 4 (or perhaps 5 or 6, depending on how they are counted) major parties voters might move from or to in Scotland? Also, can anyone who has the UK-Elect software generate their own forecasts on a regional basis, experimenting around with different numbers to see what the likely effect would be or a varying SNP surge?

A. At current levels the SNP surge isn’t especially difficult to forecast – they are actually quite close to the 50% level where they could quite conceivably win every seat in Scotland! And in truth at current anticipated support levels there are currently only three major parties in Scotland – SNP, Labour and Conservative, with the Liberal Democrats and the others far behind.

And yes, of course, with UK-Elect separate percentages can easily be used for forecasting Scotland, Wales, London etc. and an overall GB (or UK) set of percentages given as well. UK-Elect can also forecast a single region individually if required. Not only can percentages easily be adjusted to see what happens, but other factors such as the amount of incumbency support, or tactical voting, can be simulated.

Q. You mentioned Lib Dem support. Outside of the two main parties, this seems to be the other crucial piece in this election in terms of who is going to win which seats, in addition to the SNP surge. How do your forecasts try to model what’s happening there, and how can UK-Elect owners try out different options that might affect the Lib Dems?

A. The level of Liberal Democrat support in the seats that they already hold is one of the major unknowns of this election. Their overall national vote appears to be sharply down but many political experts believe that some of their incumbent MPs have built up considerable levels of personal support, enough for them to survive in current circumstances. In terms of seats this incumbency factor could be enough to save 10 or 15 of their MPs – to make the difference between an overall total of around 15 or so surviving and perhaps as many as 30. Evidence from opinion polling is mixed – a poll of Liberal Democrat seats in South West England suggested that they were on course to lose all of their 14 seats in the region. By contrast some detailed constituency polling done on behalf of Lord Ashcroft indicated that they could hold perhaps half of those seats. This difference would affect not only the Liberal Democrat seat total but also the Conservative total, as they stand to gain most of these seats.

UK-Elect users can simulate varying levels of incumbency by either trying out different forecasting methods, such as Uniform National Swing (which has no incumbency support built into it by default) and comparing them with forecasts done using the UK-Elect v9.4 method (which does support incumbency), or by directly enabling and disabling the incumbency support via a forecasting option. In addition the level of incumbency support can be specified as  separate user-specified percentages for each party in each of the cases where a sitting MP is seeking re-election for the first time, or has been an MP for more than one previous parliamentary term, or is standing down. By these means many different scenarios can be simulated.

Q. Ukip and the Lib Dems are parties that seem to be on very different trajectories. In your latest forecast, you have Ukip at about 13% and 2 seats (the first they would win in a general Parliamentary election), with the Lib Dems at about 9% and 26 seats (down from their current 56). Yet, both leaders of those parties are in constituencies where they might lose – South Thanet and Sheffield Hallam. What does your latest forecast say about leaders Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg?

A. The latest forecast suggests that both Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg will be elected, although fairly narrowly.  Some very recent polling evidence suggests that Farage may now be establishing a clear lead in South Thanet, although polls have disagreed previously about his chances so the trend towards him remains to be confirmed.

Q. If you were to give one word of advice to people looking at polls as we move closer to the election, what would it be?

A. Relax. Basically, remember the margin of error (usually + or- 3%) and don’t take any one poll (or even two or three polls) too seriously.

You can get UK-Elect to create your own forecasts here, and updates on Twitter are here.

 

Upcoming President Infinity – Version Amundsen – 1.9.7

Hi everyone,

This post will keep track of changes to the upcoming version of President Infinity v. Amundsen – 1.9.7, and includes an estimated release date for it (as with any estimate, this can change).

Est. release date: Saturday, April 25th.

Changes so far (this list will be updated as changes are implemented on this side, these changes will not be available until the version is released):

  • “Processing Turn” message date format changed, for example “11/02/2015” is now “Monday, November 2nd, 2015”
  • Main Screen > Surrogates can now fundraise
  • Main Screen > if Surrogate already Barnstorming, now can’t add Spinning
  • Main Screen > if Surrogate already Spinning, now can’t add Barnstorming
  • Surrogates Screen > wider
  • Surrogates Screen > now clearer what Surrogate’s Barnstorming, Fundraising, and Spin attributes are
  • Surrogates Screen > if Barnstorming, no longer shows, for example, ‘4/4/4 (in theme)’, but rather ‘Barnstorming Power 4′
  • Constituency Screen > added more popup help
  • Fixed bug where would get ‘successfully spun story’ message every time spun story, regardless of whether successful
  • Mac > fixed bug that caused game to exit before starting on some systems
  • 2016 > added Carly Fiorina, 2%, 10% in California
  • 2016 > added Lindsey Graham, 2%, 8% in South Carolina
  • 2016 > Ben Carson > Ground 1 -> 2
  • 2016 > Jim Webb > removed Barack Obama as Surrogate
  • 2016 > Endorsers > updated ids (for example, Joni Ernst now has an id of joni_ernst instead of tom_harkin)
  • 2016 > Endorsers > Mitch McConnell > Rand Paul -> 100
  • Offers > if get VP or endorsement of another player, if they are also an endorser then they are set to endorsed

Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. – Version Amundsen – 1.9.6

Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. v. Amundsen – 1.9.6 for Windows and Mac has been released!

If you are a Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. owner, you are eligible for this release.

You can download this release by requesting a download e-mail at the link below.

Notes:

  • Continuing to increase the speed of the Main Screen will be done with another update.
  • Ads probably will be modified.
  • Election night will continue to be modified.
  • Alternate leaders for the main parties will be added.

All feedback welcome!

Important: when you receive the e-mail, you will want to download the file from the “win pmi united kingdom” or “mac pmi united kingdom” link.

If for some reason there is no “win pmi united kingdom” or “mac pmi united kingdom” link in your e-mail and you are a Prime Minister Infinity- U.K. pre-orderer, please notify us and we will fix that for you.

To download:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/

Changes in this version:

  • Updated candidates for all constituencies
  • Constituency declaration times updated (thanks to EPG for link)
  • Significantly expanded the help file
  • Nicola Sturgeon > Debating > 3 -> 4
  • Main Screen > Fundraising > updated interface
  • Main Screen > Fundraising > can now view a ranked list of estimated fundraiser amounts for each constituency
  • Main Screen > Campaigners can now fundraise
  • Main Screen > if Campaigner already Barnstorming, now can’t add Spinning
  • Main Screen > if Campaigner already Spinning, now can’t add Barnstorming
  • Campaigners Screen > wider
  • Campaigners Screen > now clearer what Campaigner’s Barnstorming, Fundraising, and Spin attributes are
  • Campaigners Screen > if Barnstorming, no longer shows, for example, ‘4/4/4 (in theme)’, but rather ‘Barnstorming Power 4′
  • Computer players > now fundraise more often
  • Computer players > if fundraising, now pick constituencies to maximize amount raised
  • Fixed bug where computer players weren’t running ads
  • Rallies > attendance number on info line in pop up
  • Debate Prep Screen > updated frame graphics
  • Debate Prep Screen > added popup help
  • Constituency Screen > added more popup help
  • Fixed bug where would get ‘successfully spun story’ message every time spun story, regardless of whether successful

Upcoming Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. – Version Amundsen – 1.9.6

Hi everyone,

This post will keep track of changes to the upcoming version of Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. v. Amundsen – 1.9.6, and includes an estimated release date for it (as with any estimate, this can change).

Est. release date: Saturday, April 18th PST.

Note: this release is for all owners.

Changes so far (this list will be updated as changes are implemented on this side, these changes will not be available until the version is released):

  • Updated candidates for all constituencies
  • Significantly expanded the help file
  • Nicola Sturgeon > Debating > 3 -> 4
  • Computer players > now fundraise more often
  • Computer players > if fundraising, now pick constituencies to maximize amount raised
  • Main Screen > Fundraising > updated interface
  • Main Screen > Fundraising > can now view a ranked list of estimated fundraiser amounts for each state
  • Fixed bug where computer players weren’t running ads
  • Rallies > attendance number on info line in pop up
  • Debate Prep Screen > updated frame graphics
  • Debate Prep Screen > added popup help
  • Constituency Screen > added more popup help
  • Fixed bug where would get ‘successfully spun story’ message every time spun story, regardless of whether successful
  • Campaigners Screen > wider
  • Main Screen > if Campaigner already Barnstorming, now can’t add Spinning
  • Main Screen > if Campaigner already Spinning, now can’t add Barnstorming
  • Main Screen > Campaigners can now fundraise
  • Campaigners Screen > now clearer what Campaigner’s Barnstorming, Fundraising, and Spin attributes are
  • Campaigners Screen > if Barnstorming, no longer shows, for example, ‘4/4/4 (in theme)’, but rather ‘Barnstorming Power 4′
  • Constituency declaration times updated (thanks to EPG for link)

President Infinity – Version Amundsen – 1.9.5

President Infinity v. Amundsen – 1.9.5 for Windows and Mac has been released!

If you are a President Infinity (President Forever 2016) owner, you are eligible for this upgrade.

What’s new in this upgrade

  • 2016 > Primaries > can now start either Oct. 15th or Dec. 1st
  • 2016 > Rick Perry > Issue Familiarity 2 -> 3
  • 2016 > Warner -> ‘off’ by default
  • Computer players > now fundraise more often
  • Computer players > if fundraising, now pick states to maximize amount raised
  • Main Screen > Fundraising > updated interface
  • Main Screen > Fundraising > can now view a ranked list of estimated fundraiser amounts for each state
  • Main Screen > fixed bug where didn’t display primaries completed seats properly
  • Election Night > Export > fixed bug where regions listed twice

This is a comprehensive update.

You can download this release by requesting a download e-mail at the link below.

Important: when you receive the e-mail, you will want to download the file from the “windows president infinity” or “mac president infinity” link.

If for some reason there is no “windows president infinity” or “mac president infinity” link in your e-mail and you are a President Infinity (President Forever 2016) owner, please notify us and we will fix that for you.

To update:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/

Version information:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/president-forever-2016-version-information/

What’s coming up in future updates

  • Expanding the 2016 candidates (Fiorina, Graham, Pataki)
  • 7 days per turn feature for primaries
  • Implementation of Kickstarter campaign in-game rewards

Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. Help File Input

Hi everyone,

I’m in the process of creating the Prime Minister Infinity – U.K. Help File.

It’s here.

If you have any questions that you would like to see answered in the Help File, or tips or insights you think would make the Help File better, feel free to comment here! Those questions and comments will then be incorporated into the Help File.

Thanks for any feedback and good gaming!