Tectonic voter migrations in the lead up to the U.K. election

Martin Baxter has an article here showing tectonic voter migrations in the lead up to the 2015 U.K. election.

Tectonic voter migrations in the lead up to the U.K. 2015 election

This chart shows just how complex current U.K. politics is. It also shows how standard right-left descriptions can be misleading. Ukip (‘right-wing’) draws from Labour (‘left-wing’). Green (‘left-wing’) draws from the Conservatives (‘right-wing’). Conservatives (‘right-wing’) draw from the Lib Dems (‘left-wing’).

You can get insight into the U.K. election with our election sim here.

6 Responses to Tectonic voter migrations in the lead up to the U.K. election

  1. Jonathan May 6, 2015 at 4:23 pm #

    Wow. Yeah, some of those migrations do not make any sense to me. Although, the US had some similar odd voting migrations in 1872 and 1884, when large blocks of voters willfully voted for a candidate that had a less compatible platform. That is, Republicans with Republican values supporting Democrat Grover Cleveland over a more compatible, but corrupt, fellow Republican in 1884. And in 1872, when Democrats rallied around notable abolitionist and radical Horace Greeley. Greeley was destroyed in a landslide, but he got support from such a diverse group as former-abolitionists and former-slaveholder against Grant in 1872. In both cases, the reason for the odd voting behavior was corruption. They’d rather vote in someone that isn’t corrupt than a corrupt politician with a platform they believe in. It would be interesting if the same thing happened in 2016 if Clinton faced Christie for the nomination. Tea Party supporting Clinton!

  2. anthony_270admin May 6, 2015 at 5:52 pm #

    Interesting historical examples! In the U.S., the main two parties are basically large coalitions, so these sorts of complex reconfigurations are largely simplified into a left-right spectrum.

  3. neil May 21, 2015 at 12:12 pm #

    You need to fix more of northern ireland.

    Fermanagh south tyrone. Tom elliot won the seat but it is impossible in game,

  4. anthony_270admin May 21, 2015 at 1:53 pm #


    Noted – thanks for this.

  5. neil June 13, 2015 at 5:33 pm #

    also i keep getting an index error.

  6. anthony_270admin June 13, 2015 at 6:00 pm #


    Is there any pattern to the error (does it occur at a specific spot, or after a specific action)?

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