New Hampshire Predictions!

Hi everyone,

Make your New Hampshire predictions here – Rep, Dem, or both. I’ll make a ‘highscores’ post on Feb. 10th.

For Republican predictions, the winner will be whoever gets the top 3 correct (Rep) and among those (if more than one person gets the order right) who has the closest match for %s.  For Dems, the winner will be whoever gets 1st correct and among those (if more than one person gets the order right) who has the closest match for %s between the top 2.

Honorable mentions for anyone who gets the top 3 (in order) for Reps or 1st for Dems.

Note: I will be locking the thread at 2PM PST, 5PM EST.

Note: thread locked. You can see the predictions by clicking on the post link.

13 Responses to New Hampshire Predictions!

  1. Nick February 9, 2016 at 10:40 am #

    This is from before the day of the GOP debate (prior to the debate);

    GOP:
    Trump: 24.5%
    Rubio: 22.3%
    Kasich: 18.5%
    Cruz: 15.3%
    Bush: 10%
    Christie: 5.4%
    Fiorina: 2%
    Carson: 2%
    Anyone else: 1% or less.

    Kasich over performs much like Jon Huntsman in 2012. Trump loses support like Iowa but not enough to lose. Rubio over performs as well.

    Dems:

    Sanders: 55%
    Clinton: 45%

    Clinton picks up steam but Sanders still pulls it off.

  2. Dylan February 9, 2016 at 10:50 am #

    Dems

    Sanders 53
    Clinton 47

    Rep
    Trump 31
    Kaisich 15
    Christie 15
    Rubio 11

  3. Rophil February 9, 2016 at 11:09 am #

    Democrats

    Sanders 53.2
    Clinton 46.8

    Republicans

    Trump 31
    Kasich 17
    Rubio 16
    Bush 12
    Cruz 11
    Christie 7
    Fiorina 4
    Carson 2

  4. Chris February 9, 2016 at 11:10 am #

    Rep
    Trump 30
    Rubio 17
    Kasich 17
    Cruz 12
    Bush 8
    Carson 8
    Christie 6
    Fiorina 2
    Gilmore 0

    Dems
    Sanders 59
    Clinton 41

  5. Luki February 9, 2016 at 11:39 am #

    Republicans:

    Trump 24
    Rubio 21
    Kasich 19
    Cruz 12
    Christie 11
    Bush 7
    Carson 4
    Fiorina 2
    Gilmore 0

    Democrats:

    Sanders 54
    Clinton 46

  6. William February 9, 2016 at 12:11 pm #

    Democrats
    Sanders: 52
    Clinton: 48

    Republicans:
    Trump: 25
    Kasich: 23
    Rubio: 19
    Cruz: 16
    Bush: 11

  7. Jonathan February 9, 2016 at 1:21 pm #

    Sanders 56.5
    Clinton 43
    Other 0.5

    Kasich 21.5
    Trump 21
    Christie 15
    Bush 14
    Rubio 12
    Cruz 9
    Fiorina 4
    Carson 3
    Other 0.5

    NH voters were 50% undecided during the debates. I think the debates will have some influence. The unpredictability range is fairly great and I think the apparent momentum of certain candidates will lead to a result similar to this. I think Fiorina and maybe Carson drop out after this. Bush may try SC before doing the same.

  8. Jeff February 9, 2016 at 1:49 pm #

    Trump 27
    Kasich 16
    Rubio 15
    Bush 13
    Cruz 12

    Sanders 56
    Clinton 44

  9. jesse February 9, 2016 at 1:50 pm #

    Dem:
    Sanders: 58%
    Clinton: 41.8%
    Other: .2%

    Rep:
    Trump: 22
    Kasich: 20
    Rubio: 16
    Cruz: 13
    Bush: 12
    Christie: 12
    Fiorina: 3
    Carson: 2

  10. Aaron February 9, 2016 at 2:19 pm #

    Alright:

    DEM:
    Sanders: 54%
    Clinton: 45%

    GOP:
    Trump: 31%
    Kasich: 15%
    Rubio: 15%
    Bush: 10%
    Cruz: 10%
    Christie: 6%
    Fiorina: 4%
    Carson 3%

  11. kevin February 9, 2016 at 3:18 pm #

    Reps:

    Trump 26%
    Katich 20%
    Cruz 18%
    Rubio 12%
    Bush 9%
    Christie 7%
    Fiorina 5%
    Carson 2%

    Dems:

    Sanders 57%
    Clinton 42%

  12. Eric February 9, 2016 at 4:55 pm #

    Trump: 28
    Cruz: 16
    Kasich: 14
    Rubio: 13
    Bush: 10
    Christie: 9
    Fiorina: 5
    Carson: 3
    Gilmore: 0.7
    Other: 1.3

    Sanders: 59
    Clinton: 40
    Other: 1

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. New Hampshire Highscores | 270soft.com - February 10, 2016

    […] Congratulations to everyone who made a prediction! […]

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