Nevada Highscores

Congratulations to everyone who made a prediction!

The work for this is included in the spreadsheet Nevada Caucuses Predictions. If I’ve made any errors or overlooked anything, please let me know!

Highscores, Reps (Actual results: Trump 45.9%, Rubio 23.9%, Cruz 21.4%)

5 people got the correct top 3 in order. The winners were Aaron and Dylan K.

  • 1. Aaron (40-25-20, ave. % point error 2.8), Dylan K. (40-24-19, 2.8)
  • 3. Dylan (37-27-20, 4.47)
  • 4. Dallas (36-26-18, 4.8)
  • 5. Jonathan (35-29-23.5, 6.03)

For contrast, Nate Silver (Trump-Rubio-Cruz, 37.1-27.1-21, 4.13) would have made the highscore list, and come in 3rd, after Aaron and Dylan K.

 

7 Responses to Nevada Highscores

  1. Nick February 25, 2016 at 4:42 pm #

    Nate*

  2. anthony_270admin February 25, 2016 at 4:49 pm #

    Thanks, typo fixed.

  3. Nick February 27, 2016 at 2:06 pm #

    @Anthony – How does one join the Steering Committee?

  4. jesse February 27, 2016 at 2:38 pm #

    Will there be a thread for South Carolina (D) primary predictions?

  5. anthony_270admin February 27, 2016 at 2:42 pm #

    @Jesse,

    I’ve made a combined open thread-predictions thread. I won’t be tabulating results, but people are welcome to make public predictions.

    http://270soft.com/2016/02/27/south-carolina-d-thread-and-predictions/

  6. anthony_270admin February 27, 2016 at 2:45 pm #

    @Nick,

    No way to join the Steering Committee right now. Might be opening it up again in the future, we’ll see.

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