Prime Minister Forever – Canada 2011: Almost Ready

Quick update on PM4E Canada 2011’s status: it’s almost ready for initial release.

What to expect: an initial release this week. Then, we’ll update the game, adding features and content as the election progresses, probably right up until the election.

Some new features over 2008:

– Completely new game engine.

– Detailed party seat breakdown according to strength of support.

– Timed game: set a per turn timer for hot-seat human players.

– Minority government resolution: will the NDP and Bloc work with a Conservative minority? if not, the Governor-General will award the government to the Liberals.

– Turn parties off: want to see what the election would be like without the Greens, for example (or any other party)? Turn them off, and give the scenario a spin.

– Campaign attributes: leaders have not only personal attributes (Leadership, Experience, and so on), but also campaign attributes (Ads Strength, Spin Strength, Polling Strength, and so on).

– Local scandals: dig up dirt on not just your opponent’s national campaign, but on local candidates as well … and then fan the flames into nation-wide scandal coverage.

– Seat swing info: look at how many seats you’re projected to take compared with the last sitting of Parliament, and which incumbents you’re going to dethrone.

– High-score bonuses: defeat high-profile candidates in ridings, and gain extra high-score bonuses.

– New ads system: target ads to the national, regional, or local levels, and run them accordingly.

– Issue positions expanded from 5 to 7: be the ideologue you always wanted to be.

– and more

More news soon …

Friday release: Prime Minister Forever – Australia 2011 Beta v. 1.0.8

Prime Minister Forever – Australia 2011 Beta v. 1.0.8 has been released.

If you pre-ordered (including under the ’2010′ name), you can get the latest Beta here:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/

Version information here:

http://www.270soft.ipbhost.com/index.php?showtopic=11216

If for some reason you are unable to download it, please contact us here:

http://270soft.com/contact/

Tim Pawlenty wins in 2012! or … President Forever 2008 reviewed in Minnesota Republic

President Forever 2008 + Primaries is reviewed in the latest edition of the Minnesota Republic, by J.D. Hunt.

The take-home excerpt:

“the incredibly addicting game is without a doubt, the best election simulator on the market.”

Hunt also gives a few suggestions, in particular allowing players to continue in an observer mode even if they have lost in the primaries, to see how things play out – noted.

You can read the whole thing, complete with pic of Gov. Tim Pawlenty in 2012, here, pp. 21-22.

Friday release: Prime Minister Forever – Australia 2011 Beta v. 1.0.7

Prime Minister Forever – Australia 2011 Beta v. 1.0.7 has been released.

Note: the name has changed from ’2010′ to ’2011′, but the download file may still say ’2010′.

If you pre-ordered (including under the ’2010′ name), you can get the latest Beta here:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/

Version information here:

http://www.270soft.ipbhost.com/index.php?showtopic=11216

If for some reason you are unable to download it, please contact us here:

http://270soft.com/contact/

Friday release: Prime Minister Forever – Australia 2011 Beta v. 1.0.6

Prime Minister Forever – Australia 2011 Beta v. 1.0.6 has been released.

Note: the name has changed from ‘2010’ to ‘2011’, but the download file may still say ‘2010’.

If you pre-ordered (including under the ‘2010’ name), you can get the latest Beta here:

http://270soft.com/updates-redownloads/

Version information here:

http://www.270soft.ipbhost.com/index.php?showtopic=11216

If for some reason you are unable to download it, please contact us here:

http://270soft.com/contact/

Political body language

How does one figure out a potential Republican party nominee’s intentions?

Consider John Thune’s recent CPAC speech. CPAC is a major Republican conference, where potential candidates can get a significant amount of media and insider attention. If one is going to make a speech and is seriously considering running for President, one wants to make a good impression, no? Yet, John Thune gave his speech while making heavy reference to his notes, and his gestures made it look like he hadn’t practiced it that much. After watching, I was left considering two possibilities: 1. He isn’t that good at delivering speeches, or 2. He didn’t think it worth his time to prepare it to a level which would be polished (which at that length would probably take hours). I compared this to Mitch Daniels’ speech, which was delivered at a much higher level.

Shortly after, Thune has announced his isn’t running for President (which I first read through Matthew Newman’s post).

Similarly, consider Chris Christie’s recent AEI speech. Many pundits said it was well-delivered and he didn’t refer to notes. I watched it, and was struck by how poorly it was delivered compared to most speeches Christie gives. He was frequently referencing his notes, and some lines he seemed to stumble over. My conclusion is: Christie is being sincere when he says he doesn’t intend to run for President in 2012. If he were intending to do so, he would have practiced the speech much more.

The basic point is: for politicians who are time-pressed, looking at whether they think it worthwhile to spend several hours rehearsing what would be an important speech (or similar sorts of things) can be an indicator of their intentions.

Newt’s and Bachmann’s Iowa Prospects

The Iowa caucuses are the first in the Republican primaries calendar. A candidate that does well in Iowa stands to gain significant national media and ‘momentum’ (barring an expectations problem).

Craig Robinson at The Iowa Republican has just ranked the top 10 Republican (possible) candidates as far as their prospects in the Iowa caucuses go. Neither Huckabee nor Palin are on the list (presumably because Robinson doesn’t think that they will run). Absent those two, the top three are:

3. Tim Pawlenty

2. Michele Bachmann

1. Newt Gingrich

Based on this, I have increased Bachmann and Gingrich’s percentages in the Republican Standings (right-hand side of blog), from 1% -> 2% and 3% -> 4%, respectively.

Metaranking the 2012 Republican Presidential Candidates

There are now several rankings available of potential 2012 Republican Presidential candidates, and this allows us to do a metaranking, below.

At Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball (the eponymous site of a University of Virginia Political Science Professor), they rank the Republican candidates while grouping them into several major tiers (so, First Tier includes Romney, Huckabee, Palin, Pawlenty, Barbour and Daniels). Beside each, they gives several key advantages and disadvantages, which presumably make up part of the reason for the rankings. (Note: this ranking’s currently from Jan. 20th.)

At National Journal (via Mark Lowe), they have just released their second ranking of the Republican candidates, where they give short descriptions justifying the position (or change thereof).

Finally, there’s our ranking, which you can see on the right-side of the main blog page.

Notes: if a candidate doesn’t appear in a ranking, they are not listed. The numbers next to ranking indicate their respective rankings by Sabato, National Journal, and 270soft, and the average of those three.

So, the metarankings are:

  1. Gov. Mitt Romney (1, 1, 1 = 1.0)
  2. Gov. Tim Pawlenty (4, 2, 2 = 2.7)
  3. Gov. Mike Huckabee (2, 3, 4 = 3.0)
  4. Gov. Mitch Daniels (6, 5, 3 = 4.7)
  5. Gov. Sarah Palin (3, 8, 4 = 5.0)
  6. Gov. Haley Barbour (5, 6, 6 = 5.7)
  7. Rep. Newt Gingrich (7, 7, 6 = 6.7)
  8. Sen. John Thune (9, 4, 9 = 7.3)
  9. Amb. Jon Huntsman Jr. (13, 9, 6 = 9.3)
  10. Sen. Rick Santorum (12, 10, 10 = 10.7)
  11. Rep. Michele Bachmann (14, 12, 10 = 12.0)