Here’s how the Senate 2018 campaign looks in the game currently.
(Note that the national %s are lop-sided because of California, where it’s 100% Democrats, and New York which is heavily Dem.)
You can see 7 races that are toss-ups. Those are (note nominees have not been selected yet, these are my best guesses at this point)
- Arizona, which currently has Rep. McSally (R) vs. Rep. Sinema (D)
- Florida, Gov. Scott vs. Sen. Nelson
- Indiana, Rep. Rokita vs. Sen. Donnelly
- Missouri, A.G. Hawley vs. Sen. McCaskill
- Nevada, Sen. Heller vs. Rep. Rosen
- North Dakota, Rep. Cramer vs. Sen. Heitkamp
- West Virginia, Rep. Jenkins vs. Sen. Manchin
Add to this the light-red
- Tennessee, Rep. Blackburn vs. Fmr. Gov. Bredesen
At this point I’m putting Gov. Rick Scott in Florida, and so making that race 50-50. If he doesn’t run, it will probably be shifted to 55-45 for Nelson.
Note that in North Dakota, although Cramer is a Representative, his district covers the entire state (‘at-large’), so the dynamics of the race are a bit different from a typical Representative.
Maine and Vermont are currently blue because Sanders and King are effectively Dems, but for game play purposes they might be made into Independents.