Senate Predictions Contest Results

We are still awaiting 2 House races to be decided. In the meantime, we now have the final mid-term Senate results. The entire predictions are here.

53R-47D

The winners for Senate results are …

NathanF (53R-47D) and Red Bear (53R-47D)!

Honorable mention goes to (missed by 1 swing seat) …

admin, Nathan, Conservative Elector 2, Jacob Berg, CalebsParadox, Raphael, and Yorni.

Good work everyone! Nota bene: everyone listed above did better or equal to 538 on the Senate predictions, where 538 forecast 52R-48D (or 51.5R-48.5D without rounding).

Points are +10 for correctly predicting which party would have control of the Senate, and -1 point for each 2 Senate seats from the result. House results will be added to these once they are available.

  • 58R (Themiddlepolitical) +10 – 5 = 5
  • 58R (Kevin Aldrich) +10 – 5 = 5
  • 55R (Chris) +10 – 2 = 8
  • 55R (Lee Haiko) +10 – 2 = 8
  • 54R (admin) +10 – 1 = 9
  • 54R (Nathan) +10 – 1 = 9
  • 54R (Conservative Elector 2) +10 – 1 = 9
  • 54R (Jacob Berg) +10 – 1 = 9
  • 53R (NathanF) +10 – 0 = 10
  • 53R (Red Bear) +10 – 0 = 10
  • 52R (CalebsParadox) +10 – 1 = 9
  • 52R (Raphael) +10 – 1 = 9
  • 52R (Yorni) +10 – 1 = 9
  • 51R (Jonathan) +10 – 2 = 8
  • 51R (Hestia11) +10 – 2 = 8
  • 51R (Jeff Alan Vasconellas) +10 – 2 = 8
  • 51R (Harris/Ernst2020) +10 – 2 = 8
  • 50R (SirLagsalott) +10 – 3 = 7
  • 50R (Avatarmushi) +10 – 3 = 7
  • 50R (DylanS) +10 – 3 = 7
  • 50R (Jonah Ortiz) +10 – 3 = 7
  • 51D (Theliberalkitten) +0 – 4 = 4
  • 51D (John) +0 – 4 = 4
  • 52D (SystematicPollingError) +0 – 4 = 4

 

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